"The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants" - Albert Camus

Friday, March 11, 2011

Where Is The Warming, Mr. Hansen?

Among all the craziness of the past few months, I have had no time to concentrate on the sham that is AGW (man caused global warming).  Although there have been many articles filled with evidence exposing the actors in this sham (which has led the whole movement to shift and go silent for the time being) in my favorite sites like The Climate Depot and Watts Up With That, I felt that there were more pressing issues endangering our Republic. 

Having said that, Lubos Motl, a Czech physicist who crusades against the new 'red movement' masquarading as the 'green movement', recently pointed out James Hansen's own words from a decade and a half ago.  One of his main targets has been James Hansen of NASA who was caught red handed last year altering temperature data in order to maintain credibility.

According to all the data sets except for GISS (Goddard Institute for Space Studies - and try to guess who is the boss of GISS), the 2001-2010 decade saw a very slight cooling trend.

In 1988, James Hansen gave a testimony in front of the U.S. Congress in which he overestimated the warming trend for the next 20 years by a factor of 5 or so. His graphs were somewhat chaotic. They disagreed with the actual temperature record and some people have disputed that his prediction was this bad.

Here is a newspaper article that removes all doubt:

In 1986, James Hansen was already predicting a man-made global warming doomsday, and among lots of other utter nonsense, he comprehensibly articulated the following prediction for the temperature change during the first decade of this century:

Hansen said that the global temperature would rise by 2 to 4 degrees in the following decade (after 2000).

Wow. Today, we know that the actual temperature change (from linear regression) was minus 0.1 Fahrenheit degrees or something of this kind, depending on the dataset. For James Hansen, once again, the trend should have been plus 2-4 °F per decade. That's 20-40 °F per century which is 11-22 °C per century.

No kidding. The exaggeration is at least by a factor of 10 or so.

Everyone who believes in the explanation that James Hansen has become senile has been proved wrong.  At least since 1918 or so, Jehovah's Witnesses were much more sensible and careful about the end of the world. Why would a sane person declare that the temperature change will suddenly jump by a factor of 10 or 20?

The article also explicitly predicts a doubling of CO2 to 560 ppm by 2040 (in reality, it will likely be around 2080) and a warming by 8 degrees by the 2030s. ;-) It's kind of amazing that a self-evident crackpot of this caliber who has been discredited so thoroughly and irreversibly has the chutzpah to show up in the public or even in NASA.

Come to think about it, he fits in perfectly with the incompetent fools that run Washington these days.

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